AaronGleeman.com
Friday, September 15, 2006

Link-O-Rama

  • MLB.com posted a video recap of the SABR convention, so if you've wondered about the baseball get-together I attend each summer, this is your chance. Featured prominently are Jim Bouton (in the beginning) and Hardball Times writer Steve Treder (in the middle), and at the 11:12 mark there's even a brief shot of me drinking Vodka while heckling people at the trivia contest (seriously, just don't blink).


  • The Philadelphia Daily News had a nice article about the owner of the greatest athletic performance I've ever witnessed in person, who also happens to be a great story and someone to root for.


  • At the other end of the spectrum, the owner of several of the worst athletic performances I've ever witnessed in person was referred to by the Seattle Post-Intelligencer as a member of "the first family of Seattle sports."


  • For the 0.000000001 percent of you reading this right now who are curious, as of this morning I've lost 72 pounds since January 11.


  • Congrats to friend of AG.com Alex Belth, who recently got engaged to a girl who appears to have a significantly better swing than Tony Batista.


  • Another friend of AG.com, Tangotiger, launched his annual "scouting report by the fans for the fans," which is always interesting. After going to his scouting database, enter in your personal observations about the players you watch on a regular basis, and become part of a huge database of information and scouting reports compiled entirely by fans.

    If you've ever dreamed about being a scout, this is your chance. Take a look at the instructions and details, and then head to the Twins page and mark down what you think of Batista's aforementioned swing or Rondell White's never-should-be-mentioned arm.


  • The Washington Post had a fantastic article about former Twins reliever LaTroy Hawkins' off-field life. I once met a member of Hawkins' fan club and the person almost literally couldn't stop saying nice things about Hawkins, who is apparently incredibly friendly and outgoing with fans. It doesn't surprise me one bit to read the same sort of stuff in print.


  • Former ESPN.com "Daily Quickie" writer Dan Shanoff has started up a blog, and because he said something nice about me the other day I'm telling you to go check it out.


  • I'm sad, because Tony Pierce was apparently in Minnesota this week and we didn't consume tons of alcohol together while having a too-intense conversation about blogging.


  • Sometimes jokes about the Royals write themselves:
    Shortstop Angel Berroa was a late lineup scratch Tuesday after aggravating an injured left foot, apparently while walking through a Minneapolis shopping mall during Monday's open date.
    Asked to describe the injury, Angel Berroa said, "I was at the mall, just walking around, and today it's sore." That food court can be a real mine field, even for a finely tuned professional athlete.


  • There are an awful lot of interesting things about Latrell Sprewell's latest problem, but my favorite is that his boat is named after a horrible beer. You stay classy, Latrell.


  • Another of my football articles appeared on the front page of NBCSports.com this week.


  • I don't normally make a habit out of defending Ken Harrelson, but the idea that announcers can "jinx" a no-hitter by talking about it on the air is one of the stupidest things I've ever heard.


  • One of my frequent targets of criticism is Minneapolis Star Tribune columnist Jim Souhan, whom I've taken to calling "Shecky" because of his tendency to litter columns with lame one-liners and forced "humor." Souhan is a decent writer when he's not desperately trying to be funny, and at times actually produces worthwhile columns, which inevitably leads to people questioning why I'm hard on him.

    Part of the reason I'm so sensitive to Souhan's hackiness is that I am, after all, also a hack. It's like "gaydar," except without all the homosexuality (see what I mean?). It's difficult to explain without examples, of course. Thankfully, Souhan wrote a few typical "Shecky" columns this week (one, two, three) about Brad Johnson and the Vikings. Some highlights (or lowlights):
    The Purple ... play in a division that could be thinner than Calista Flockhart.

    [...]

    Maybe it was the presence of Tom Cruise ... but Johnson looked so excited he could have jumped all over Oprah's couch. ... Johnson pumped his fist and screamed a few choice words toward the sky, and I don't think he was defending Brooke Shields to Cruise.

    [...]

    Williamson ... botched passes as if he had drawn butter from a Legal Seafood lobster on his hands.

    [...]

    The 'Skins have more problems than FEMA.

    [...]

    Wonderful to see my old friends Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes on the field before the game. By the way, put Cruise on the shoulders of 'Skins owner Danny Snyder, and they might be tall enough to get on the rides at Disney World.
    There's plenty more where those came from, but that's a solid sampling of Souhan's work. The mark of a true hack is the ability to combine woefully out-of-date pop culture references with incredibly cliched characterizations of players' skills and constant harping on the mere fact that a celebrity had something to do with the game.

    For instance, because Tom Cruise simply attended the game, Johnson "looked so excited he could have jumped all over Oprah's couch" and wasn't "defending Brooke Shields to Cruise" when he got worked up after throwing a touchdown. Really? That's funny? If it had been Mel Gibson watching the game, would the Redskins' defense have been "as sloppy as Gibson being pulled over by cops"?

    Beyond that, Souhan may want to come up with a different thin actress to use as the punchline for his skinny jokes in the future, because Ally McBeal was canceled nearly five years ago (five years!) and Calista Flockhart has essentially been out of show business since then. At least the FEMA reference was from this decade. Last but not least, calling a receiver "butter fingers" apparently never gets old.

    And if you think I'm being overly harsh on poor Souhan, just remember that Shecky himself wrote the following earlier this week in between telling the audience to tip their waitress and enjoy the veal:
    Anyone who wants to work in the public eye has to accept being a tin duck in a shooting gallery. Walk it off.
    Good advice from one of the better tin ducks around.


  • Continuing the trend of the New York Times giving the Twins a surprising amount of coverage, Pat Borzi penned a good piece about Francisco Liriano's injury. I wondered outloud here a couple weeks ago why the Times was giving the Twins so much coverage and Borzi actually e-mailed me with an answer: "Our baseball editor is interested in the Twins as a national story, especially since they may face the Yankees in the playoffs."

    It's nice having one of the best newspapers in the country print a well-written piece about the Twins every few weeks. I'm hopeful that the newspapers here won't start giving the same type of coverage to the Yankees down the stretch, because I don't think I could handle that. On the other hand, I'm sure Souhan has some great Alex Rodriguez jokes stored up.


  • Lastly, the latest news on Liriano's arm appears to be good, as an MRI taken Wednesday showed no new structural damage. Here's what Joe Christensen of the Star Tribune reported:
    Liriano's ulnar collateral ligament is still intact, [Terry] Ryan said, so the rookie All-Star won't need the reconstructive "Tommy John" surgery, which could have kept him from pitching again until 2008.

    Ryan said the team should know if Liriano, 22, needs less invasive arthroscopic surgery within a week.

    "We need to make sure what is wrong, fix it and get him ready for his future," Ryan said.
    As discussed yesterday, Tommy John surgery is quite common among great pitchers, but avoiding surgery is always positive. However, I'd still bet on Liriano needing some kind of surgery, and perhaps even Tommy John eventually, because it seems unlikely that "rest and rehab" will fix what ails him and avoiding surgery now only to have the problem flare up again next season doesn't fix anything.




  • Thursday, September 14, 2006

    Once Upon a Time, The End

    Francisco Liriano's comeback was brilliant. Starting yesterday afternoon for the first time since early August, Liriano set down the A's 1-2-3 in two straight innings. He struck out two of the first six batters he faced, inducing several helpless swings, and gave up his first hit when Nick Swisher led off the third inning with a bloop single to short center field.

    One pitch later, the comeback was over.

    With Bobby Kielty at the plate, Liriano delivered a pitch and then hopped off the mound, rolling his arm as he bent over. As he walked away from the mound, his left arm limp at his side, the Metrodome went silent. Mike Redmond took his mask off and slowly walked out toward Liriano, wide-eyed. Luis Castillo made it to Liriano first, putting his hand on his back and leading him back to the mound.

    Trainer Dave Pruemer met him there, at which point Liriano bent over, placing his hands on his knees. As the conference at the mound grew, Liriano and Pruemer had a brief conversation that probably went something like: "It happened again. I felt something pop." Ron Gardenhire arrived moments after that, at which point Liriano stood up straight again.

    After a few words with Gardenhire as seemingly the entire team looked on from two feet away, Liriano received a bunch of pats on the back as he exited the field side-by-side with the Pruemer, making his way to the dugout while the 19,000 fans in attendance gave him a standing ovation. And just like that, it was over.


    In re-watching the footage, it looks like Liriano first began hurting on his 1-2 pitch to Swisher. He threw a slider, with Swisher narrowly checking his swing, and after his follow-through gingerly walked a few steps off the mound as Redmond appealed to the first-base umpire unsuccessfully. He then threw a mediocre fastball right down the middle on 2-2, which Swisher dumped into center field.

    Which pitch signaled the beginning of the end doesn't really matter, of course, but the whole situation unraveled so quickly that I almost had to re-watch it just to realize what had truly happened. After weeks of growing optimism and two perfect, electric innings in front of the home crowd, Liriano's season is now officially over.

    I'm not a doctor and I don't even play one on the internet, but it seems unlikely to me that this injury is something that will go away with rest. Liriano has tried that twice already, first by skipping a start and then by taking a month off, and each return to the mound only served to make the situation worse. I wouldn't be surprised to learn soon that Liriano needs Tommy John elbow surgery.

    While that sounds scary and like a worst-case scenario, it's really not. The surgery would essentially wipe away Liriano's 2007 season before it even began, but at this stage his ability to pitch in the short term shouldn't be the focus. The goal should be doing whatever is necessary to give Liriano the best chance for a lengthy career, whether that comes at the expense of next season or not.

    Tommy John surgery, which involves replacing a ligament in the elbow with a tendon from the forearm or leg, is significant and requires a long road to recovery. However, it's a path numerous pitchers have taken over the years with plenty of success. The surgery itself is named after left-hander Tommy John, who was Dr. Frank Jobe's guinea pig back in 1974.

    Then a 31-year-old with one All-Star appearance and zero 20-win seasons, John made three All-Star teams and won 20 games three times after returning. He pitched until he was 46 years old, finishing runner-up in the Cy Young balloting twice post-surgery and winning 288 career games (one more than Bert Blyleven). John is the first success story, but the list of "Tommy John survivors" is a long one.

    Mariano Rivera had Tommy John surgery in the minor leagues and went on to become arguably the greatest relief pitcher in baseball history. Eric Gagne and Chris Carpenter underwent Tommy John surgeries in 2000 and 2003, respectively, and came back to win NL Cy Young Awards in 2003 and 2005. In other words, for both the short and long term it's far from a death knell.

    Other successful comebacks from Tommy John surgery include John Smoltz, Billy Wagner, David Wells, Matt Morris, Jason Isringhausen, Tom Gordon, Jon Lieber, Erik Bedard, Paul Byrd, Chris Capuano, Billy Koch, and Rafael Soriano. In fact, some estimates suggest that one-tenth of all big-league pitchers have undergone Tommy John surgery at some stage of their career.

    Friend of AG.com and Hardball Times writer David Gassko is working on a research article about Tommy John surgery for the upcoming Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2007. Here's what he said about his preliminary findings when I asked him last night: "Based on my research so far, pitchers appear to do no worse after returning from Tommy John surgery. In fact, they appear to do better."

    Losing Liriano is a difficult pill to swallow after he looked so incredible earlier this season and even looked great after returning yesterday, but it's likely that this entire situation is simply a relatively small bump on the long road of what can still be a Hall of Fame career. Whether it's in spring training, next September or the second game of 2008, I look forward to seeing a healthy, dominant Liriano again.



    Wednesday, September 13, 2006

    Open Chat: Liriano's Return

    Oakland was leading 5-3 heading into the bottom of the eighth inning last night. Single, wild pitch, walk, double, double, ground out, strike out, strike out, wild pitch, line out.

    All of a sudden, Joe Nathan was on the mound closing out the Twins' 85th win. The poor A's didn't even know what hit them. And now they get the F-Bomb this afternoon.

    Giddy up!

    UPDATE: Francisco Liriano looked unhittable for two innings, gave up a leadoff single to Nick Swisher in the third inning, and then left the game after apparently aggravating his elbow injury while pitching to Bobby Kielty. He threw a pitch, walked off the mound while trying to sort of roll his arm, and then put his hands on his knees while everyone came to the mound.

    Then Liriano left the game without much conversation, with Matt Garza relieving him. So much for that. Knowing absolutely nothing beyond what I saw and what the Twins have said about the situation in the past, I'd be shocked if Liriano pitches again before spring training.



    Tuesday, September 12, 2006

    Twins 9, A's 4

    ESPN.com columnist and occasional RotoWorld contributor D.J. Gallo had a funny line in his playoff preview last week:
    If the playoffs started today, the defending World Series champions would be watching from home. But so would everyone else because if the playoffs started today it would be a complete surprise and none of the teams would be able to get travel plans organized in time.
    While acknowledging that "if the playoffs started today" is one of sports' most overused phrases, it's worth noting that "if the current standings hold up" the Twins will be matched up with the Yankees in the first round of the playoffs. That's not particularly appealing for several reasons, which is why last night's win over the A's was so important.

    You see, by beating the A's last night, the Twins actually moved one step closer to playing the A's in the playoffs. Not only have the Twins now won more games than they did all of last season, they now trail the Tigers in the division by the same number of games (1.5) that they lead the White Sox in the Wild Card standings.

    Because teams from the same division aren't allowed to play each other in the ALDS, winning the Wild Card almost certainly means a trip to New York while winning the division means welcoming Oakland to the Metrodome. The "be careful what you wish for" part of the latter scenario is that while they didn't look it last night, the A's have quietly played nearly as well as the Twins over the past four months.

    In fact, the two teams have incredibly similar stories. The Twins began the season 25-33 and have since gone 59-26, while the A's began the season 23-29 and have since gone 59-32. Beyond that, both teams have dealt with an amazing number of injuries to key players throughout all that winning. With that said, Oakland scares me a whole lot less than New York in a five-game series.

    Winning the AL Central seemed out of the realm of possibility when the Twins trailed the Tigers by a dozen games at the All-Star break, but with Detroit slumping and the lead down to 1.5 games, the chances of it happening could arguably be called "likely." And as much fun as it is going back and forth with the White Sox, the Twins' best chance for a World Series will come from winning the division.

    In addition to a more favorable ALDS opponent, overtaking the Tigers will give the Twins homefield advantage in the first round and potentially throughout the postseason (thank you, Michael Young). The Twins have won 61 percent of their home games since 2001, including 68 percent this season, and opening-round series that begin at Yankee Stadium haven't been kind in the past.

    A couple weeks ago "scoreboard watching" was relatively simple, but now the Twins have three races to keep tabs on:
    CENTRAL    W    L    GB    WCARD      W    L    GB    LEAGUE     W    L    GB
    Detroit 86 58 --- TWINS 84 59 --- New York 86 56 ---
    TWINS 84 59 1.5 Chicago 83 61 1.5 Detroit 86 58 1.0
    Chicago 83 61 3.0 TWINS 84 59 2.5
    I heard a rumor that a local football team played last night. It's a shame they couldn't watch the Twins.



    Monday, September 11, 2006

    Notes From the Weekend

  • Boof Bonser has improbably gone from being demoted to Triple-A in July to being the Twins' lone reliable starter behind Johan Santana in September. Not only does Bonser have a 3.79 ERA and 38-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio in seven starts since being recalled from Rochester, he's 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA in his last five outings and has given up just one run in back-to-back games.

    Bonser doesn't have the stuff to be an ace and he'll always be susceptible to ugly stretches thanks to being homer prone, but he's shown plenty of promise as a rookie. At the very least, Bonser can be penciled into the back of the rotation for the next few seasons at a reasonable price. And yes, getting three pitchers from the Giants for A.J. Pierzynski looks better just about every day.


  • Speaking of the Pierzynski trade, Francisco Liriano took a major step toward rejoining the Twins' rotation by tossing three no-hit innings at Triple-A Saturday night. Working on a pitch count, Liriano struck out four, walked one, and then went to the bullpen for a little more work. Afterward, he told reporters: "I feel great. I don't feel sore. I don't feel any pain. Everything is good so far."

    It's somewhat difficult to trust Liriano fully after he essentially kept his prior arm problems a secret, but this is certainly great news. Barring a setback, he's reportedly scheduled to start Wednesday against Oakland, which means Liriano could start four more times this season. Almost as important is that he'll have plenty of time to build up his arm strength for the playoffs.


  • On a similar note, Brad Radke's chances of pitching again seem to be rising. The Official Twins Beat Writer of AG.com, LaVelle E. Neal III, reports that Radke will play catch this week and hopes to "return by the last week of the regular season." That doesn't leave much margin for error or setbacks, although Radke did say, "If I feel good it could be sooner."

    It's quite possible that Radke's career is over, but there are a few options that Twins fans can hope for. One is that Radke is able to make it back for one or two regular-season starts and can ready himself for one last postseason run. Short of that, it'd be nice if Radke can simply get himself prepared to be an option for the playoffs, even if means his regular season is over.

    And if all else fails, it'd be nice to see Radke take the mound at the Metrodome one last time. If he can't contribute to the Twins' World Series hopes again, perhaps Radke could come in for the ninth inning against the White Sox in the 162nd game of the year, getting the last out of what will hopefully be a blowout win with a postseason spot already clinched.


  • Glen Perkins, who is fresh up from Double-A, combined with Liriano on a one-hitter Saturday. He came on in relief, tossing six innings of one-hit ball in the International League playoffs while no one noticed because of the guy who started the game. In 24 starts between Double-A and Triple-A this year, Perkins posted a 3.85 ERA and 134-to-50 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 121.2 innings.

    Friend of AG.com and Rochester Democrat & Chronicle writer Jim Mandelaro had a guest article in the Minneapolis Star Tribune covering the Liriano-Perkins masterpiece.


  • I've been suggesting for a while now that the Twins would be smart to see if Matt Guerrier can give them a few decent starts given how deep the bullpen is at the moment. As is usually the case, it took the Twins a while but they eventually agreed with me, bumping Scott Baker from the rotation over the weekend in favor of Guerrier.

    Many Twins fans seem to have given up on Baker, but I remain confident that he'll develop into a solid fourth starter. Even with his struggles this year, Baker has a 5.30 ERA and 90-to-28 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 127.1 big-league innings, which is far from disastrous from a 24-year-old. With that said, what the Twins need most right now is simply five passable innings from their starters, and Guerrier likely gives them a better chance at that than Baker.


  • I've avoided commenting on the ongoing Bert Blyleven situation because I tend to get needlessly worked up when the subject of the FCC comes up, but I'd like to make it very clear that I think Blyleven has gotten a raw deal. Regardless of whatever faults he may have as an announcer, Blyleven made an honest mistake that was ultimately harmless and immediately apologized for it.

    I think his initial suspension was unwarranted, but at least understand it. That he was suspended for an additional three games seems absurd. The punishment doesn't fit the crime, I don't think Blyleven is any less likely to make the same mistake in the future because of the extra time off, and Twins fans had to suffer through Ron Coomer in Blyleven's absence (although Jack Morris did a great job as a one-game sub).

    Of course, I'm a well-known vulgarian, so what do I know?


  • If you're the last person on earth who has yet to see the Blyleven incident in question, here's a clip.


  • Santana's Cy Young case looked incredibly strong last week, but it looks even better after he won for the 18th time just hours after Roy Halladay left his start yesterday in the first inning. Santana is well on his way to the pitching triple crown and the Twins are now 26-5 in his 31 starts. As Patrick Reusse points out in today's Star Tribune, a very good argument can be made for Santana being the AL MVP (unless you're as stubborn as my main man LEN3):
    As long as we can keep that man of principle, La Velle E. Neal III, away from the ballot box, Johan Santana has a shot to be the first starting pitcher to win a big-league Most Valuable Player Award since Oakland's Vida Blue in 1971.

    Mr. Neal, our veteran baseball writer, was one of two voters (along with George King of the New York Post) not to place Pedro Martinez on the 10-player ballot in 1999. This greatly benefited Texas catcher Ivan Rodriguez in claiming the honor.

    "The award is for guys who play every day, not pitchers," said Neal, in rejecting Pedro's rather solid season (23-4, 2.07 ERA, 313 strikeouts) as being worthy of MVP consideration.

    On Sunday, as Santana was leaving to a roaring standing ovation after 6 1/3 scoreless innings in the Metrodome, a colleague asked Neal if seven years later he maintained that stance on pitchers and MVP awards seven years later.

    "Yes, but I don't have the vote this year," he said. "I'm voting for Rookie of the Year."
    I'm LEN3's biggest fan, which is really saying something given how tough I can occasionally be on the local media, but even I have to admit defeat when critics bring up his illogical stance on pitchers and the MVP.

    UPDATE: Reusse's proclamation that "Santana has a shot to be the first starting pitcher to win a big-league Most Valuable Player Award since Oakland's Vida Blue in 1971" is false, as Roger Clemens was the AL MVP in 1986. His overall point remains, of course, but as usual us bloggers shouldn't trust what we read in the mainstream media (or something like that).


  • Apparently back-to-back poor outings isn't proof positive that the league has "figured out" Pat Neshek. Shocking, I know.


  • Ron Gardenhire might be the only manager in baseball who would stick Jason Tyner and his .360 slugging percentage at designated hitter when he has both Rondell White and Phil Nevin available. And no, I didn't mean that as a compliment.


  • Speaking of White, he's now batting .287/.327/.535 with six homers in 29 games since returning from Rochester.


  • Since beginning the season at a lifeless 25-33, the Twins are 58-26. They've trimmed the Tigers' division lead from double digits to two games (and one in the loss column) in just over a month, all while Liriano has been out, and are amazingly just 2.5 games away from having the league's best record.

    It doesn't get any easier with the first-place A's coming to town, but the Twins can realistically be considered co-favorites in the division at this stage given how the Tigers have played of late and are relatively large favorites to get into the postseason as either the division winner of Wild Card. Not only would that have been impossible to believe in June, it would have been hard to believe in August.

    And now? It's time to believe.