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Friday, September 21, 2007
Link-O-Rama"Nice work dude, up high!" All of sudden some random guy who was walking about 40 feet behind me shouted, "Hey man, don't you know this isn't Twins territory any more?!" It was the middle of the afternoon, so the whole thing didn't strike me as the impetus for a mugging or anything, so I calmly yelled back, "Oh yeah, who's territory is it then?" His answer? "The Cubs, of course!" Fortunately he left it at that and there was no singing involved, but this could be the start of a disturbing trend. I'm setting the betting line at 2-to-1 that Will Young ruins everything by saying "yes" to Moss. A love that strong can't be contained by practical jokes. Sherri Nichols once observed that a catcher's defensive reputation is inversely proportional to their offensive abilities, which is a fancy way of saying that the better a catcher hits the worse people perceive his defense to be. The opposite is also very much true, and that seems to have extended to Punto despite the fact that he's not even a catcher.I also covered the same topic briefly yesterday, but for those of you struggling to wrap your head around the concept, Kyle Eliason over at MN GameDay has been kind enough to provide an explanation in the form of a graph: Eliason notes that "he ain't the second coming of Brooks Robinson or Bill Mazeroski," but someone may want to tell Official Twins Beat Writer of AG.com LaVelle E. Neal III.And the available quarterback who might be the best fit for this team, Kelly Holcomb, hasn't even officially risen to No. 2 on the depth chart. Holcomb must feel like the guy who got bumped from "American Idol" by William Hung.I've never seen even one second of the show, but about half of the dozen or so people who e-mailed me about the above quote pointed out that no one actually "got bumped from American Idol by William Hung." You know, as if that were the main issue. Outgoing GM Terry Ryan will not have an office at the Metrodome but instead will be working out of his home as he pursues his scouting duties as an adviser.A little advice for Ryan from someone who very much enjoys working from home: If you plan to do even a fraction of your work while in bed or on a couch, don't let that fact slip when speaking to someone in the media. As nearly every article that's ever been written about me shows, professional writers are for some reason absolutely fascinated by the notion that you don't have to be at a desk to work. If you like looking over scouting reports while lounging anywhere, make it your little secret. Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
Thursday, September 20, 2007
Twins Notes: Butch Huskey, 2000, and Punto's DVDs1. Todd Walker, 2BHunter hit ninth while Butch Huskey batted cleanup, Matthew LeCroy started behind the plate, Denny Hocking replaced Corey Koskie defensively, Brad Radke gave up six runs to take the loss, and Johan Santana followed Bob Wells and Hector Carrasco out of the bullpen with a scoreless ninth inning as the mop-up man. Oh, and I was nearing the end of my junior year of high school. There's really no difference between 80-82 or 82-80, but it'd be nice to stay as far away from that 2000 team as possible. That's an intriguing thought and an idea that's certainly worth examining, which is why it made sense for the Minneapolis Star Tribune and MLB.com to report on it. Unfortunately, no one actually examined the issue and MLB.com's Kelly Thesier instead chose to imply that it was simply a fact while writing that "a lot of his second-half woes are traced back to taking part in the Home Run Derby." In a different MLB.com article, Leslie Parker wrote: Justin Morneau at least partly blames his participation in the Home Run Derby for his second half offensive slump, and his manager does not disagree. Morneau is batting just .254 in the second half, compared to .295 in the first half. He's only hit six home runs post-All Star break, whereas he had 24 before.Parker's version at least treats the suggestion as speculation rather than fact, but the quoted numbers are rigged to support the idea anyway. Meanwhile, as Ubelmann points out, the Home Run Derby didn't hurt Morneau when he homered four times in the first 11 games following the break. Either he had some sort of delayed reaction that didn't kick in for three weeks or his power has simply declined in the second half like it did last season (when, incidentally, he didn't participate in the Home Run Derby). I'm still open to it, if it makes sense. But who knows? If we don't sign Torii back, and it doesn't look like Johan is coming back--obviously, I want to be here, but it's a question of how much is in the budget. Radke is one of the only guys who stayed.Of course, Morneau also made the most important point when he said, "I'm going to be here through 2010 no matter what." YEAR G PA AVG OBP SLG 2B HR SBThere are still two weeks left on the schedule, so Hunter will continue to add to his counting stats, but on a rate basis he's been almost exactly as effective as he was in 2002. All of which is to say that he's been extremely good. Interestingly, Hunter signed what turned out to be a five-year contract extension following that 2002 season. I'm not a believer in players being able to adjust their level of performance based on when they hit the open market, so I'm not suggesting that Hunter has done that. With that said, the similarities between the seasons are striking given that they came five years apart. When the Twins signed Hunter back in 2002, they did so following what was then the best season of his career and failed to receive that level of performance again until this season. Now they're again in position to potentially sign him to a long-term deal following another career-best season. For Hunter the timing has been perfect, but it's tough for the Twins to pay for his best if they don't always get it. Within the past week LEN3 has described Punto's defense as "spectacular" and "tremendous" while suggesting that he "could make a tidy sum selling DVDs on how to field the position." While I recognize that Punto is a good defensive player, the idea that he's suddenly some sort of cross between Brooks Robinson, Ozzie Smith, and Frank White is laughable and can traced directly to his historically awful season offensively. If Punto was hitting .275 his defense wouldn't be mentioned in every note about him and when it was discussed you can be sure that the descriptions would be less flowery. FSN announcers Dick Bremer and Bert Blyleven constantly mentioning and exaggerating Punto's defensive ability is expected, because they've shown little ability to do anything but spout whatever company line they've been given most recently, but for LEN3 and other media members it's disappointing. Punto is a good defensive player, but constantly suggesting that he's "spectacular" or "tremendous" or "could make a tidy sum selling DVDs on how to field" is stretching things quite a bit and attaching exaggerated praise for his defense with every mention of his offense is applying a disingenuous spin. How many other players are guaranteed an exaggerated mention of something they do well alongside each mention of something they struggle with? Overall, the Twins ranked 12th in the American League in runs.First, it's noteworthy that Steve Liddle places the blame on "younger players and maybe having to rush a couple of guys along." In reality, the team's lone position player under the age of 24 is Alexi Casilla, who's played all of 50 games. While it's true that Casilla was perhaps rushed to the majors and has made a number of fundamental mistakes over the past six weeks, the team is filled with veterans (like Punto) who have done the same all season. As usual though, youth gets called out. Beyond that, I found it amusing that Liddle's quote about "doing the little things" came directly after the note about the Twins' offense ranking 12th in runs. When you look at the top offenses in the league and see the Yankees, Red Sox, and Tigers with 150-200 more runs than the Twins, do you really think it's because of "little things" rather than the fact that those teams have hit 38, 52, and 78 percent more homers than the Twins? It'd be refreshing to hear someone talk about "the big things" once in a while. During that 46-game stretch, Jason Tyner (25) and Rondell White (17) have combined for 52 starts between left field and designated hitter, and Punto has been in the starting lineup 35 times. Kubel is hitting .279/.342/.487 since May 10 and has remained healthy all season, yet he's going to end up coming to the plate fewer than 500 times for a team that ranks 12th in the league in scoring and will likely give about 550 plate appearances to the worst hitter in baseball.Gardenhire ... wasn't kept in the loop about Ryan's decision to step down after 13 years and suddenly must build a working relationship with new GM Bill Smith. Ryan has spent the past several months discussing with Twins ownership a change of his role. Gardenhire wasn't informed of Ryan's decision to become a senior adviser until after the team's charter flight landed Wednesday night from Kansas City. "I was as shocked as anybody," Gardenhire said.The same article also included Hunter talking about Ryan being "the face of the franchise," which is amusing for reasons that I've discussed here in the past. Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
Tuesday, September 18, 2007
No MasOne of the few positives that comes along with being out of the playoff picture long before the end of the season is that the final portion of the schedule can be used to look at young players in preparation for next year. In Alexi Casilla and Brian Buscher, the Twins have a pair of infield prospects who could emerge with prominent roles in 2008 and beyond, so giving them playing time now figures to pay off down the road while helping the team evaluate their potential. Instead, Ron Gardenhire continues to write 29-year-old Nick Punto's name into the lineup nearly every day. There's certainly no rule saying that teams must stop playing veterans once they fall out of contention, but given Punto's horrendous play this season and the presence of young talent it seems like a natural thing to do. Punto has been the single worst hitter in all of baseball at .205/.290/.262 overall, including .194/.250/.244 in the second half, yet has started 30 of the past 36 games. Casilla has struggled at the plate while being very prone to mistakes and Buscher has looked rough defensively at third base, but why not give them some low-pressure playing time over a guy who turns 30 years old soon and is now a .244/.314/.320 hitter in 1,672 career plate appearances spread over seven big-league seasons? The answer, or at least Gardenhire's answer, is that Punto needs plenty of work to prepare for starting again next season. Seriously.According to Official Twins Beat Writer of AG.com LaVelle E. Neal III, Gardenhire has "practically named Punto the starting second baseman in 2008." Here's a quote from Gardenhire: We already know what we've got with Nick. We know we've got a player. And [Casilla] has all the tools in the world. Nothing's a given. You have to go out and play. But if we were to start right now I would say Nick would have a head up on him, believe me there.If Gardenhire actually "knew what he had in Punto," he'd stop playing him every day. Instead, Punto already has over 500 plate appearances with two weeks left to play despite ranking dead last among all MLB hitters in batting average, slugging percentage, and OPS (and 161st out of 166 in on-base percentage). When viewed alongside the rest of his minor-league and major-league track record, Punto hitting .290/.352/.373 last season is a clear fluke. He batted .256/.352/.321 in 1,185 plate appearances at Triple-A and has hit .224/.299/.304 in 1,158 plate appearances in the majors surrounding his fluke 2006 season. Yet surely in Gardenhire's mind Punto's 2006 season represents his true ability and the other nine years of his career are the fluke. Perhaps the most amazing thing is that Punto's fluke season wasn't even all that great, yet Gardenhire is willing to stick with him through historic ineptitude because of it. Similarly, Luis Rodriguez has gotten regular playing time since returning from a demotion to Triple-A, starting nine of 15 September games. At 27 years old, Rodriguez has hit .245/.311/.345 in 491 plate appearances in the majors and .273/.354/.356 in 3,415 plate appearances in the minors. Toss in what is at best passable defense at second base and the inability to handle shortstop, and it's unclear why he's playing. Over those same 15 September games, Casilla and Buscher have six starts each. I don't blame Gardenhire and the Twins for being unsure of what they have in Casilla and Buscher, but they're not going to learn much by keeping them on the bench and now is a rare opportunity to give them playing time in a situation where mistakes can be tolerated. Why not give Casilla and Buscher even a fraction of the patience that has inexplicably been provided to Punto? Why not let them play through struggles in a low-pressure time when Punto is allowed to play through struggles all season? Letting Casilla and Buscher rot on the bench and perhaps head back to Triple-A next season won't ruin the Twins, and neither will handing Punto a starting job again. However, the team's handling of the situation provides a perfect example of an organizational weakness that has been prevalent for years. Casilla and Buscher deserve a chance to play, yet they sit even when the games mean nothing. Punto deserves a seat on the bench, yet he plays every day whether it's April or September. Or 2008. Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
Monday, September 17, 2007
Link-O-RamaNote: Link-O-Rama entries typically run each Friday in this space, but Terry Ryan suddenly stepping down as Twins general manager changed those plans last week. Errors should not be the criteria. Fielding percentage is one of the worst averages there is. It doesn't tell you anything about range, positioning.Somewhere, Dick Bremer has a confused look on his face. As for which AL manager said that, here's a hint: He works for the general manager who said this about trusting minor-league track records: There's a lot of players out there who if they're given an opportunity, they are major league players. ... Players ... who've been around so long, people have a tendency of focusing on the things they can't do well instead of focusing on what they do well enough to be major league players.Sound familiar? During an appearance Wednesday on "The Ellen DeGeneres Show," Anderson declined to identify her new mystery man, but there's scuttlebutt in the poker world that she's been seeing 29-year-old Antonio "The Magician" Esfandiari.If true, for Antonio Esfandiari's sake I hope that deal also came with a time machine. "Damn Ace Man, you were good at football in high school!" Getting back to the Vikings ... the receivers, headed by free-agent acquisition Bobby Wade, will match any other receivers in the NFC North.Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson, Mike Furrey, and Shaun McDonald say hello. And so do Donald Driver, Greg Jennings, and James Jones. Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
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E-Mail: aarongleeman@gmail.com Twitter: twitter.com/aarongleeman Read Me Elsewhere Rotoworld NBC Sports MinnPost Minnesota Twins Stuff Minneapolis Star Tribune St. Paul Pioneer Press MinnesotaTwins.com LaVelle E. Neal III Joe Christensen Kelsie Smith Kelly Thesier Seth Stohs Stick and Ball Guy Nick Nelson Parker Hageman Phil Mackey John Bonnes Edward Thoma Josh Johnson Howard Sinker Twinkie Town Pat Neshek Sports Stuff Hardball Talk Rotoworld Fan Graphs Baseball-Reference.com The Hardball Times Baseball America Baseball Think Factory Bill Simmons Rob Neyer Joe Posnanski Big League Stew The Big Lead Deadspin Fanhouse Baseball Prospectus U.S.S. Mariner Al's Ramblings Sports By Brooks Baseball Musings MLB Trade Rumors Non-Sports Stuff MinnPost Alan Sepinwall David Brauer Adam Carolla Poker Road Gorilla Mask Wicked Chops Poker WWTDD? Popoholic The Superficial Steve Silver Tao of Poker Discount Sporting Goods ![]() Official Fantasy Girl of AG.com OFGoAG.com Timeline: Heidi Klum (8/2002 - 12/2003) Jessica Alba (12/2003 - 10/2004) Elisha Cuthbert (10/2004 - 11/2006) Vacant (11/2006 - 6/2008) Keeley Hazell (6/2008 - 3/2010) Mila Kunis (3/2010 - Present) OFGoAG.com Candidates: Marisa Miller Jenna Fischer Kate Beckinsale Keeley Hazell Diora Baird Top 40 Twins Prospects of 2010: 1. Aaron Hicks, CF 2. Kyle Gibson, SP 3. Wilson Ramos, C 4. Miguel Angel Sano, SS 5. Ben Revere, CF 6. Angel Morales, CF 7. David Bromberg, SP 8. Danny Valencia, 3B 9. Matthew Bashore, SP 10. Billy Bullock, RP 11. Rene Tosoni, RF 12. Chris Parmelee, RF 13. Adrian Salcedo, SP 14. Joe Benson, CF 15. Jeff Manship, SP 16. Tyler Robertson, SP 17. Carlos Gutierrez, RP 18. B.J. Hermsen, SP 19. Anthony Slama, RP 20. Max Kepler, CF 21. Alex Burnett, RP 22. Robert Delaney, RP 23. Luke Hughes, 3B 24. Ben Tootle, RP 25. Deolis Guerra, SP 26. Shooter Hunt, SP 27. Trevor Plouffe, SS 28. Michael McCardell, SP 29. Reggie Williams, 2B 30. Estarlin De Los Santos, SS 31. Derek McCallum, 2B 32. Jose Morales, C 33. Chris Herrmann, LF 34. Bobby Lanigan, SP 35. Danny Rams, C 36. Josmil Pinto, C 37. Steven Tolleson, 2B 38. Anderson Hidalgo, 3B 39. Loek Van Mil, RP 40. Joe Testa, RP |