AaronGleeman.com
Friday, May 23, 2008

Link-O-Rama

  • My MinnPost colleague Pat Borzi wrote an interesting article this week examining the potential food options for the Twins' new ballpark and made this brilliant suggestion for a signature item:
    Sweet Martha's cookies. This is such an automatic it's not even funny. What's better than the smell of freshly baked cookies? Sell 'em in a Twins bucket, and let people bring the bucket back for discount refills. If they sell nothing else in the ballpark, they've got to sell these, provided Martha's owner/namesake Martha Rossini Olson can swing it. Olson did not respond to a phone message, but a Martha's rep told MinnPost in an email, "The Twins have been in contact with Sweet Martha's and it is up in the air whether or not they will be included in the new ballpark."
    As someone who once went to the Taste of Minnesota with an empty backpack, filled it with buckets of Sweet Martha's cookies, and then immediately drove home, this really needs to happen. I'm perfectly willing to be morbidly obese for the remainder of my unhealthy, fat-shortened life if it means being able to eat those cookies while watching the Twins play outdoors.


  • Speaking of people gorging themselves on food at the ballpark, it sounds like Monday night's new all-you-can-eat promotion at the Metrodome had a few issues.


  • Last week's Link-O-Rama included a note about Padres front-office member Paul DePodesta's new blog and this week he posted an amusing anecdote about scouting high schoolers:
    Sometimes the gamesmanship goes a little too far. A few weeks ago I was leaving a high school game and on my way to another one. I was expecting to be in the car for at least an hour, so I planned to stop at the bathroom before leaving. With no indoor bathroom in sight, the port-o-potty on the way to the parking lot was the only option.

    As I approached, I thought I heard a voice. It was only when I reached out my hand to grab the door handle that I heard the voice loud and clear. It was a scout, inside the port-o-potty, on his cell phone reporting what other teams were in attendance at the game. Out of respect for his effort (and sacrifice), I kept walking.
    In talking about DePodesta's blog last week my guess was that "we can expect something similar from a Twins front-office staffer in May of 2058," but now we can probably change that to 2075 or so.


  • Official Fantasy Girl of AG.com candidate Keeley Hazell's sudden and increasing tendency to wear clothes would be far more upsetting if she didn't look so good in them. Meanwhile, fellow OFGoAG.com candidate Marisa Miller has looked better.


  • On a related note, by scrolling down the newly updated right-hand sidebar you'll see that there's now an Official Fantasy Girl of AG.com timeline and list of current candidates. The throne has been empty for over a year and my mind is finally almost made up on the next title-holder, but much like the new AG.com logo the actual decision may come down to a reader vote. Stay tuned.


  • Incidentally, if you have any thoughts on the site's new look or any ideas for additional things that should be added to the sidebar, feel free to let me know.


  • My friend and Rotoworld colleague Matthew Pouliot was recently profiled by the Wall Street Journal. Pouliot is the biggest content source and one of the primary driving forces behind the world's largest fantasy sports website, so it's great to see him getting some much-deserved props. When he takes a rare vacation and I'm asked to help fill in, it immediately becomes clear how ridiculously hard he works. The lengthy article is well worth reading, but you can also watch a video version of the profile:


    My favorite part is the discussion of his personal life and video game-playing habits.


  • Speaking of Rotoworld, managing editor Gregg Rosenthal stumbled across a now-hilarious version of the site from way back in 1999 and found the "writers wanted" note from 2003 that led to his hiring. Rosenthal is responsible for me joining Rotoworld a couple years later, so needless to say that the old stuff is fascinating to me.


  • Last week Bill Simmons complained publicly about his strained relationship with ESPN and started a personal blog where he posted an old 15,000-word article. This week he posted more old articles on the blog, accused ESPN.com editors of censoring his jokes, and invoked the character Mitch McDeere from The Firm. It must be incredibly liberating to have "f*** you money."


  • On the other hand, unhappy or not this week Simmons also penned a new column for ESPN.com in which he addresses AG.com favorite John Mayer's "big year" and recorded a new podcast featuring another AG.com favorite, Chuck Klosterman. Simmons and Klosterman are two of my absolute favorite writers, so hearing them chat for an hour was great, especially once the conversation inevitably turned to writing.

    Not only did Klosterman literally make me laugh out loud with a line about wanting to be elderly and eat soft food at a nursing home, he smoothly reversed the interview by questioning Simmons about how his life and writing have changed as a result of ESPN fame. Simmons squirmed plenty, but eventually revealed some interesting details. Also of note is that he either declined to address his apparent feud with ESPN or whatever discussion he had on the subject was completely edited out. Give it a listen.


  • Adam Everett was placed back on the disabled list yesterday, hours after being described in this space as "clearly having problems making even routine throws with his still-balky shoulder." With Alexi Casilla and Howie Clark already up from Rochester to replace Nick Punto and Matt Tolbert, the Twins turned to the final potential middle infielder on the 40-man roster, promoting Matt Macri from Triple-A. Macri ranked No. 37 on my annual list of the Twins' top 40 prospects and got this write-up:
    Originally taken out of an Iowa high school by the Twins in the 17th round of the 2001 draft, Matt Macri opted for college instead of signing and played three seasons at Notre Dame, batting .367/.465/.667 in his final year. Selected by the Rockies in the fifth round of the 2004 draft, Macri hit well between two levels of Single-A to begin his minor-league career before batting just .232/.293/.370 with a 66-to-22 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 84 games at Double-A in 2006.

    Asked to repeat Double-A last season, Macri bounced back by hitting .298/.349/.502 with 11 homers, 34 total extra-base hits, and a 58-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 79 games. Traded to the Twins in August for Ramon Ortiz, Macri moved up to Triple-A and finished the season by hitting .286/.322/.554 with four homers in 17 games. Macri now carries a .282/.350/.467 hitting line in 296 career games, with solid numbers everywhere except for the season at Double-A in 2006.

    He's played all over the infield defensively and is considered a solid glove at third base, so it's easy to see Macri emerging with a major-league job at some point. On the other hand, he turns 26 years old in May, doesn't have much plate discipline, and has struck out in 21 percent of his career trips to the plate. He might be stretched as an everyday player, but being productive platooning against left-handed pitching is doable and the Twins' system lacks good bats, let alone infielders with power.
    Brian Buscher is batting .312/.392/.504 in 35 games at Triple-A so far this season, while Macri hit just .263/.324/.434 in 29 games prior to the call-up, but defensive versatility is obviously the Twins' primary concern at the moment. With Punto due back from the DL as soon as next week Macri's first stay in the majors figures to be a short one, although if the Twins are convinced that he can passably handle shortstop and second base he should strike them as a superior option to Clark.


  • Double knockouts are always amusing:


    Not quite Rocky Balboa versus Apollo Creed, but it'll work.


  • I've been catching up on Alan Sepinwall's outstanding television writing since stumbling across his blog and Newark Star-Ledger column a few months ago, so it was great to discover that he went back and reviewed every episode of one of my all-time favorite shows, Freaks and Geeks, years after it was unfortunately canceled about 10 seasons too soon. Reading through Sepinwall's entertaining recaps made me sad all over again.


  • For years now Howard Stern has suggested--usually in regard to Billy Joel divorcing supermodel Christie Brinkley--that for even the most beautiful women in the world there's always one man sick of being with her. That always seemed absurd to me, but perhaps there's some truth to it after all.


  • It's about time that the always amazing comments section at the Minneapolis Star Tribune's website gets some national attention.

    UPDATE: This one is pretty good too.


  • Friend of AG.com Chris Jaffe wrote a great column this week at The Hardball Times looking at the many amazing facts from the sadly now-completed Julio Franco era.


  • My on-camera career somehow continues to roll on against all odds and multiple chins. This time I'll be appearing on FOX's "Sports Primetime" show Sunday night with Doogie Wolfson. We're scheduled to be the second half of the 10 o'clock news, but FOX airing a NASCAR race may push things back to 10:45 or so. I'm giving serious thought to breaking out a sport coat for the occasion, so you'll definitely want to tune in.


  • Finally, someone e-mailed me a few days ago complaining that the weekly AG.com-approved music video is never a country song. There's good reason for that, although the one recent country song that struck me as semi-listenable is Keith Urban doing "You'll Think of Me":




  • Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.


    Thursday, May 22, 2008

    Twins Notes: Infield Shuffling, Sir Sidney, and TK

  • It looks like Matt Tolbert going down for two months with a torn left thumb ligament won't stop Ron Gardenhire's plan to remove Brendan Harris as the starting second baseman. Alexi Casilla started each of the past three games at second base, with Harris beginning two games on the bench and one at designated hitter. Defensive metrics pegged Harris' glove as awful last season in Tampa Bay, so it's no surprise that Gardenhire almost immediately found fault with his defense during spring training.

    What does come as a surprise is Harris ranking second among AL second basemen in Revised Zone Rating, behind only A's defensive whiz Mark Ellis. While Harris getting to more balls in his zone than anyone in the league save for Ellis is plenty shocking, he certainly hasn't looked bad at second base in my eyes, at least on "normal" plays. However, Harris has looked pretty shaky far too often on double plays, which is seemingly what has Gardenhire doing everything he can to move him off the position.

    With Casilla apparently out of the doghouse for the moment and Nick Punto due to return from the disabled list shortly, Gardenhire will soon have a pair of speedy, switch-hitting, defense-first second basemen to choose from as replacements for Harris even with a third such player, Tolbert, sidelined. Of course, Harris was supposed to be a bad-glove, good-hit second baseman, and he's batted just .262/.335/.355 while flashing a far better glove than expected on non-double plays.


  • What's interesting about Gardenhire not wanting Harris to remain at second base is that sliding him over to shortstop reportedly has become an option. That seems backwards, especially given how awful Harris' numbers were at shortstop last season. However, Gardenhire may agree with this season's numbers showing that Harris has been solid on normal plays at second base and may also feel that he's more capable of smoothly turning double plays as a shortstop.

    Of course, while botched double plays are ugly and memorable, my guess is that a second baseman who makes the normal plays and struggles to turn two is far better than a shortstop who struggles to make the normal plays and capably turns two. On the other hand, Adam Everett was brought in during the offseason solely for his previously elite defense at shortstop, but has looked shaky for much of the year and is clearly having problems making even routine throws with his still-balky shoulder.

    Everett has very little value if he's no longer an elite defender at shortstop, and Casilla replacing him there would seemingly be an obvious option given that Casilla has a great arm and has played plenty of shortstop in the minors. However, the team likely still views second base as Casilla's long-term position and if Gardenhire thinks that Harris can better handle double plays at shortstop that goes a long way toward explaining the latest infield shuffling. My guess? Lots of Punto, beginning next week.

    UPDATE: Sure enough, Everett is now headed back to the disabled list.


  • Meanwhile, John Romano of the St. Petersburg Times writes that Jason Bartlett has impressed his new Rays teammates with the same outstanding range that he showed as the Twins' shortstop:
    The change in Tampa Bay's defense this season has been stunning, and you can attribute much of the improvement to Bartlett. He has brought calm to the infield and confidence to a pitching staff. ... Bartlett is getting to balls that, in years past, have routinely scooted through the infield for singles.

    Based on figures from STATS Inc., Tampa Bay had the worst defensive shortstops in the American League last season. The Rays' zone rating--which measures a player's efficiency on balls hit in his vicinity--was the second worst for any team in the AL in the past 20 years. And Bartlett's zone rating? Last week, he was third in the American League.

    "He is making the routine plays, and then some more on top of that," Rays third-base coach Tom Foley said. "He's got the knowledge, he's got the athleticism. We've seen multiple plays this year with the bare hand over the mound, or turning double plays on balls that you weren't even sure he could get to."
    Most fans and media members still misguidedly believe that "errors" and "defense" are the same thing, which is why Bartlett drew a tremendous amount of criticism for being an error-prone shortstop who possessed excellent range. Romano notes that the Rays got historically bad defense from their shortstops last season, which should be concerning for Twins fans given that Harris saw 53 percent of Tampa Bay's innings there.


  • It's worth noting that for all of Harris' problems on double plays, it was a Casilla error on a potential double play last night that opened the door for the Rangers' seven-run inning. Nick Blackburn certainly did his part by imploding after the error, but all six of the runs that he allowed following Casilla's drop count as unearned. After cruising through five scoreless frames Blackburn coughed up seven runs, including a pair of homers, yet saw his ERA improve from 3.77 to 3.55.


  • Sidney Ponson went 2-5 with a 6.93 ERA for the Twins last year before being released in mid-May, so naturally last night he held them to one run in a complete-game win. His last complete game came way back on April 24, 2005. Minneapolis Star Tribune columnist Patrick Reusse took a break from his ongoing series of anti-internet screeds to pen this humorous tidbit about Sir Sidney and Official Twins Beat Writer of AG.com LaVelle E. Neal III:
    The propaganda about Ponson's sinker coming from the Twins' brain trust in spring training was such that LaVelle Neal admitted going on an obscure radio show and predicting ''13, 14 victories'' for the husky righthander (Sidney, not LaVelle). The Star Tribune's senior hardball writer was only generous by 11 or 12.
    A fat columnist poking fun at a fat beat reporter is highly amusing to this fat blogger.


  • Tom Kelly seems even less comfortable on camera than me, but it was great listening to him during last night's broadcast. Asked about Carlos Gomez, Kelly talked about the need for improved plate discipline and strike-zone control, citing on-base percentage. Then when Bert Blyleven went into his nightly rant against pitch counts, Kelly subtly disagreed that they were pure evil and made some good points that Blyleven has ignored despite devoting several hundred hours of airtime to the topic.


  • After collecting multiple hits in each of the past three games, Joe Mauer now leads the AL with a .336 batting average. He also ranks fourth in the league with a .406 on-base percentage and only Kurt Suzuki has logged more innings behind the plate. For all the silly, Dan Barreiro-style talk about Mauer not coming through in the clutch or not making a huge impact because of a lack of power, Mauer ranks third among AL hitters in Win Probability Added, trailing only Manny Ramirez and Josh Hamilton.

    Once you adjust for catcher being the worst-hitting position in baseball and throw in his considerable defensive value, a WPA-based analysis likely shows Mauer as the league's most valuable position player thus far. Some homers would certainly be nice, but anyone complaining about a player hitting .330 and getting on base at a .400 clip while playing the most physically demanding, least-offensive position is merely doing a fine job showing how little they really know about baseball.


  • After his hot streak at Triple-A was spotlighted Monday in this space, Denard Span went 0-for-14 with six strikeouts and suffered a broken finger that will likely sideline him for a month. It's bad timing for an injury, because Span may have been close to getting another chance with the Twins. However, the good news for Span is that the injury allows him to maintain a nice-looking .327/.431/.471 hitting line for a while when he appeared to be rapidly regressing toward his underwhelming career norms.


  • Last week Jason Tyner was called up from Triple-A by the Indians and took it as an opportunity to criticize the Twins for letting him go during the winter:
    I thought I had earned my stripes there. I had a tough role. You'd go a week without playing, but I thought I did my job. I guess they didn't think about that when they made the decision. I'd like to get a shot at them. I know that.
    Tyner never got "a shot at them" because days after being called up by the Indians he was designated for assignment. He then went unclaimed on waivers, with the Twins and 28 other teams declining to take him for essentially nothing, and accepted his demotion back to Triple-A. Tyner spent the entire 2004 season in the minors and looks likely spend nearly the entire 2008 season in the minors, so perhaps the team that kept him in the majors from 2005-2007 wasn't so bad to him after all.


  • With Kelly Thesier getting the day off, longtime AG.com reader and "Gleeman World" member Thor Nystrom covered last night's game for MLB.com and also had a write-up about Punto's injury status.


  • With the draft about two weeks away, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com--who penned a guest entry here back in March--has posted his first mock draft. Mayo projects that the Twins will select California high schooler Aaron Hicks with the 14th overall pick and gives this explanation:
    Remember how I said Hicks reportedly doesn't want to pitch and that he was a toolsy outfielder as well? Here's a team that might be willing to take a shot on those considerable tools. Hicks has shown the ability to be a game-changing center fielder, though it may take some time for the bat to come. You never want a fall-back for a pick this high, but any team giving Hicks a shot as an outfielder surely knows that they can always turn to pitching and his 96-mph fastball if things don't work out after a while.
  • Back in 2004 many teams liked California high schooler Trevor Plouffe as a pitcher, but the Twins took him 20th overall as a shortstop and he's now one of the system's few decent middle-infield prospects.

  • Danny Graves didn't pitch in the majors last year after posting a 6.52 ERA in 2005 and a 5.79 ERA in 2006, so when the Twins signed the 34-year-old former All-Star to a minor-league deal he looked like Triple-A roster filler. Instead, with a 3.24 ERA and 14-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 25 innings in the minors he reportedly may soon be a bullpen option. Lots of washed-up relievers have gotten chances in the Twins' bullpen over the years, but expect him to be more Jesse Orosco than Mike Jackson.



  • Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.


    Wednesday, May 21, 2008

    Radio Face Overload

    Despite having a face made for radio and a body made for writing, for some reason people continue to put me on camera. First, here's this week's NBCSports.com "Fantasy Fix" show, which features Gregg Rosenthal chatting with me split screen-style about hot starts from Chipper Jones, Lance Berkman, Josh Hamilton, Edinson Volquez, and Cliff Lee:


    If by some miracle you're still not sick of looking at me after watching that, then please check out my latest appearance on FOX's "Sports on Demand" show with Jim Rich and Seth Kaplan. Unfortunately there's no way for me to embed the "Sports on Demand" video, so you'll have to click here and select the episode featuring me from the list on the right. We devoted nearly the entire 30-minute show to Twins talk, with a little basketball discussion thrown in at the very end, so it's worth checking out.

    I'll be back tomorrow with some content that doesn't involve being forced to stare at my chins. Promise.

    Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.


    Tuesday, May 20, 2008

    Baseball is a Funny Game: Part 4,386,108,792

    It must be a full moon out there.
    - Ron Gardenhire
    Where to begin?

    Playing his 646th game in the majors last night, Michael Cuddyer made his first career start in center field thanks to Carlos Gomez's wrist injury, yet Gomez still ended up batting twice and scoring the game-winning run after pinch-running for Jason Kubel in the eighth inning. Alexi Casilla smacked a three-run homer in the fourth inning after beginning his big-league career with 215 homerless plate appearances and failing to go deep in 121 trips to the plate at Triple-A prior to being called up.

    Brendan Harris was in the lineup at designated hitter one day after reports surfaced that he was in danger of losing his starting job at second base because of defensive struggles, yet finished the game at shortstop. With Harris at shortstop, Mike Lamb at third base, and Howie Clark at second base the Twins featured one of the worst defensive infields in team history, yet Clark and Harris turned a key double play late.

    Despite not having worked since Friday, closer Joe Nathan was allowed to throw just five pitches after coming into a tie game in extra innings at home, leading to Juan Rincon loading the bases in the 11th inning. Bobby Korecky was asked to get Rincon off the hook, wriggled out of the jam in his sixth career appearance, and then came to the plate in the bottom of the inning thanks to Ron Gardenhire losing the DH as part of his late-game strategy.

    Korecky slapped the first pitch he saw for a single to right field, becoming the first Twins pitcher with a hit in an AL game during the DH era and collecting what may have been the first hit of his professional career on a night when cleanup man Justin Morneau and No. 5 hitter Cuddyer combined to go 0-for-10 while leaving 14 runners on base. Korecky later picked up his first career victory when Clark delivered a walk-off hit over Josh Hamilton's head in center field with pitcher Livan Hernandez waiting on deck.

    A 34-year-old veteran of 16 minor-league seasons who was called up from Triple-A over the weekend, Clark then received a shaving-cream pie to the face during his post-game interview, only to have Jim Souhan of the Minneapolis Star Tribune ask him three more questions. On a night when three guys who were teammates at Rochester weeks ago produce a three-run homer, the game-winning hit, and 1.2 scoreless frames of relief for the victory, baseball reminds everyone what a funny game it can be.

    And they'll do it all over again tonight.



    Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.


    Monday, May 19, 2008

    Twins Notes: Span, Ruined Plans, and Taking Swings

  • Denard Span has had an interesting few months. He arrived at spring training by informing everyone who would listen that he was ready to take over for Torii Hunter as the Twins' starting center fielder, displaying a unique "confidence" for someone who hit .267/.323/.355 in 139 games at Triple-A during the previous season. Then he hit .282/.405/.385 in 16 spring games, only to be sent back to Triple-A for the second straight year while voicing his frustration with the Twins picking Carlos Gomez for the job.

    His stay in Rochester was brief, as the Twins called up Span after Michael Cuddyer's finger injury. He debuted on April 5, starting in right field despite playing almost exclusively center field in the minors, and was in the lineup as a right fielder in eight of the next 10 games while Craig Monroe often looked on from the bench. Span was then out of the lineup for the next four games, made his first career start in center field on April 23, came off the bench in a blowout on April 24, and was sent back to Triple-A.

    Batting just .258/.324/.258 over 34 plate appearances in his first taste of the majors is more or less what should have been expected from a career .283/.348/.348 hitter in the minors, but since returning to Rochester he's gone about changing those expectations. Span homered in three straight games last week, which is remarkable for someone who came into the year with a grand total of seven homers in 2,184 career plate appearances, including no more than three in any season.

    Span has batted an amazing .419/.514/.661 at Triple-A so far this month and in two dozen total games at Rochester this season he's hitting .378/.486/.544 with three homers, nine total extra-base hits, and a 17-to-19 strikeout-to-walk ratio while going 14-of-18 swiping bases. After producing nearly 2,200 plate appearances of mediocrity to begin his career, Span lighting up the International League for 100 trips to the plate in his second year at Triple-A warrants plenty of skepticism, but it's damn encouraging:
    DENARD SPAN AT TRIPLE-A

    YEAR PA BB% SO% K/BB IsoP IsoD SB/G SB%
    2007 548 7.1 16.4 2.31 .088 .056 .179 64.1
    2008 110 17.3 15.5 0.89 .166 .108 .583 77.8
    Not shown above is an unsustainably high batting average on balls in play and barring some sort of deal with the homer-hitting devil he's never going to possess even average power at the plate, but hitting .378 with homers in three straight games has masked some other encouraging things. He's always been talked about as a leadoff man despite struggling to draw walks, control the strike zone, or put his speed to good use, but he's improved significantly in all three areas so far this season.

    Span has coaxed nearly 2.5 times as many walks while cutting down on his strikeouts slightly, and has attempted about three times as many steals while upping his success rate from "horrible" to "good." Hitting .380 is great and the homers are nice given that showing some semblance of extra-base power would drastically change his long-term outlook, but given Span's skill set and track record his improved plate discipline and strike-zone control might be the most encouraging aspects of his monster month.

    And thanks to Gomez's wrist injury, he could be rewarded with another call-up.


  • Losing Matt Tolbert and Nick Punto to the disabled list has forced the Twins to dig into their weak collection of infield depth at Triple-A. Alexi Casilla was called up to replace Punto despite hitting just .219/.350/.250 at Rochester after looking like a mess with the Twins last season. Howie Clark was called up to replace Tolbert despite being a 34-year-old veteran of 16 minor-league seasons who's hit just .283/.355/.406 in over 2,200 career plate appearances at Triple-A.

    A few years ago Casilla looked capable of developing into a long-term starter at either second base or shortstop, but even then the oft-repeated comparisons to Luis Castillo were overblown and his stock has declined dramatically over the past two seasons. Casilla doesn't turn 24 years old until mid-July, so there's still time for him to become an impact player, but he's hit just .257/.344/.316 in 129 games at Triple-A and .219/.260/.255 in 68 games with the Twins.

    Clark's days of potentially being an impact player are long gone, but he's fought through 5,000 plate appearances in the minors to accumulate a half-season's worth of playing time in the majors spread over stints with the Blue Jays, Orioles, and now Twins. Clark's bat would be solid enough for a middle infielder and he likely got the nod over Brian Buscher thanks to defensive versatility, but he's stretched defensively at second base and is well below par offensively for third base or an outfield corner.


  • According to Official Twins Beat Writer of AG.com LaVelle E. Neal III, Tolbert's injury ruined big plans:
    There were indications Gardenhire was ready to shuffle the lineup. Brendan Harris would get some starts at third base and Tolbert would be in the lineup nearly every day. Gardenhire's goal with the moves would have been to shore up defense up the middle, especially turning double plays. ... With Tolbert out indefinitely because of strained ligaments in his right thumb, Gardenhire's plans have been foiled.
    Brendan Harris' glove has been every bit as shaky as advertised and Ron Gardenhire hinted at a short leash by criticizing his defense during spring training, but playing Tolbert every day is far from a great solution. His hot start had many fans willing to overlook a mediocre minor-league track record, but Tolbert predictably cooled off and headed to the DL with a .265/.307/.337 hitting line that's very much in line with his batting .280/.345/.405 over 1,500 career minor-league plate appearances.


  • There's always been plenty of reason to think that the Twins' perpetual lack of plate discipline is an organizational problem rather than strictly a manager or hitting coach problem, and assistant general manager Rob Antony provided even more evidence of that during a recent interview at Twinkie Town. After saying that the Twins target athletic guys who work hard and have "all the makeup traits" over "the 'Moneyball' guy who has a high on-base and takes a lot of walks," Antony added:
    We're not so much concerned about how many times they walk, and this and that. Yeah we pay attention to on-base percentage, and we want guys at the top of the order who have good on-base percentages and set the table for the middle of the order, but what we're most concerned about is players going up and taking swings at good pitches. Don't get yourself out, and chase sliders away and balls in the dirt. Swing at good pitches, and give yourself a chance to hit good pitches--more so than looking at all the different numbers that so-and-so has or whatever.
    Saying that he's "not so much concerned about how many times they walk" because the focus is on hitters "taking swings at good pitches" rather than "looking at all the different numbers" would be fine if the Twins had shown the ability to consistently develop good hitters and outstanding offenses. When this season's offense ranks dead last among all 30 big-league teams in walks and the lineup has scored an above-average number of runs exactly once since 1995, then it's plenty frustrating to hear.

    Here's more from Antony, in response to a question asking if there's "any temptation" to teach young hitters to be "more selective at the plate":
    Sure, we try and do that with Delmon. We try and do that with Gomez in particular. But they're both 22 years old, and the one thing you don't want to take away is their aggressiveness. ... He's an exciting player who's gonna learn on the job just like Torii Hunter did, just like Jacque Jones did, a lot of players learn on-the-job with us.
    Antony and the rest of the organization trusts scouting over stats, values aggressiveness over patience, and teaches "taking good swings" over "drawing walks." Meanwhile, those beliefs have led to 15 years of offenses that range from mediocre to horrible while producing two 30-homer hitters in two decades. Pointing to Hunter and Jacque Jones as players who learned on the job is revealing, because while they were both good hitters for the Twins neither player developed even average plate discipline.


  • As evidenced by the previous bullet point this site certainly tends to be far more critical of the Twins than coverage that you'll find in newspapers and on television or radio, so even if they're late to the party it's always nice to see the local mainstream media picking up on some points that I've been harping on here. For example, here's Howard Sinker of the Minneapolis Star Tribune on the Twins' reputation for "doing the little things" right:
    Anyone who prattles on about the Twins "doing the little things" right is living in the past. It is a catchphrase of the national media, which tends to live a few years behind reality when it comes to teams not playing on the Coasts or in Chicago, and of local loyalists who need vision and comprehension checks. It's just not happening any more and the sum total of the Toronto sweep should drive home that point to anyone still doubting it.

    The former manager, Tom Kelly, imbued his teams with the fundamentals and Gardy's division-winning teams were in large part the result of Kelly's ways of doing things. The current group has lost the right to carry that banner.
    And that was before committing three ugly errors Sunday. I've been trying to point out the long-expired nature of the Twins' "doing the little things" reputation for several years now, yet the national media and much of the local fan base continues to treat it as gospel. Delmon Young possessing huge power potential is another oft-repeated notion that readers of this blog have seen me disagree with over the past six months, and now even Star Tribune columnist Jim Souhan is questioning Young's bat:
    Young's problem has not been warning-track outs, it has been getting the ball out of the infield. He rarely pulls the ball, and when he does, he does not do so with authority. He has taken the concept of the "inside-out" swing--a la Mauer--to a ridiculous degree, dragging the bat head through the hitting zone so belatedly that his hits can only be ground balls up the middle and bloops to right field.
    From the moment the Twins acquired Young from the Rays this offseason fans were treated to stories filled with quotes about his supposedly huge power potential and sky-high offensive ceiling, including the ridiculous, oft-repeated comparisons to Frank Robinson. Meanwhile, in analyzing the trade back in November one of my concerns was that Young "has hacked at everything while showing only moderate power since advancing past Double-A in mid-2005." Here's more of my day-after-the-trade breakdown:
    After posting a fantastic .228 Isolated Power in 936 plate appearances between Single-A and Double-A, his Isolated Power in 1,416 trips to the plate between Triple-A and majors has been a pedestrian .141. In other words, he's lost about 40 percent of the power that he showed early in his pro career. ... A big part of the decline in power is that Young has been an extreme ground-ball hitter in the majors, which makes it difficult to hit the ball into the gaps and impossible to hit the ball over the fence.
    Concerns about Young's power aren't limited to this year and shouldn't have surprised anyone focused on actual performance rather than optimistic quotes hyping potential. He's a former No. 1 overall pick who scouts loved and thrived in the low minors, but hit just 14 homers in 604 plate appearances at Triple-A and has just 16 homers with a measly .406 slugging percentage through 986 trips to the plate in the majors. Even his recent surge of extra-base hits have come mostly via bloops and ground balls.


  • Even scouts are apparently beginning to sour on Young. Or at least "one scout" who recently talked to Jayson Stark of ESPN.com:
    I'm not so sure about Delmon anymore. He swings at everything. And he's not a very good breaking-ball hitter. You spin it, and he can't lay off it. And if he hits it, he doesn't do much with it.
    It's unclear whether or not he's the same person, but Stark also quotes "one scout" opining that Gomez is "like a toolbox without a key" offensively. On Gomez's defense, however, the scout says: "I don't see a whole lot of difference between him and Torii, other than name and reputation."


  • Quote of the Decade, from FSN play-by-play man Dick Bremer during yesterday afternoon's game: "The Twins haven't been taking many walks lately."


  • In addition to the Antony interview, Twinkie Town passed along a virtual tour of the new ballpark:


    Anything without a dome over it looks great to me, but they may want to change the video showing on the virtual jumbotron at some point.



  • Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.