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Friday, August 22, 2008
Link-O-RamaIf given the choice between being the world's greatest swimmer and the world's fastest man, my guess is that most people would pick the latter without giving it a second thought. Seriously, imagine being so fast that you can coast to the finish line while showboating and still blow out a collection of the world's greatest runners ... in a race that essentially lasts 10 seconds. Suffice it to say that you won't see many articles wondering if Phelps could possibly have a future in the NFL. I wish I had been nude from the time I was 12 until I was 28. I looked great! I want to tell all young girls to walk around in bikinis all summer and enjoy it. I want to tell them to never, ever feel bad about anything, because there will be that one day in your 20s when you'll eat a hamburger and actually see the hamburger on the side of your leg. Initially it's shocking, and you think, Whoa, I have to actually think about what I eat and work out double the amount I did before.In terms of timing, her revelation is a bit like someone on their death bed noting that not smoking three packs of cigarettes every day for 50 years would have been a smart move. Hopefully this is sufficient motivation for the world's scientists to get working on a time machine. Oh, and the above video also provides a decent definition of "not safe for work," so be warned. From the constantly updated player profiles and detailed projections to the in-depth sleeper picks and customizable cheat sheets, trusting the Draft Guide gave me a ton of confidence despite spending the past six months focused almost entirely on baseball. This is half-plug and half-testimonial, but either way if you're going to be drafting between now and Week 1 you should definitely have the Draft Guide by your side. My fellow keeper leaguers especially will benefit from the keeper-specific analysis. QB: Jay Cutler, Matt Schaub RB: Jonathan Stewart, LenDale White, Selvin Young, Chris Johnson WR: Reggie Wayne, Chad Johnson, Donald Driver, Ronald Curry TE: Kellen Winslow That's what my team looks like with five rounds to go, and considering how things looked before the draft putting together that group in a 12-team league is a minor miracle. Gregg Rosenthal convinced me to buy into his Cutler hype, so if lives up to his billing as "the next great quarterback" Rosenthal will be my hero. For the most part this space rarely contains gratuitous plugs for Rotoworld stuff, so trust me on this one. Get the Rotoworld Fantasy Football Draft Guide. These people look as though they wouldn't have had the time to listen to the first side of Al Green's Greatest Hits, let alone all his other stuff (ten albums on the Hi label alone, although only nine of them were produced by Willie Mitchell); they're too busy fixing base rates and trying to bring peace to what was formerly Yugoslavia to listen to "Sha La La (Make Me Happy)."That passage doesn't even begin to do justice to what is an excellent, hilarious book, but as a huge Al Green fan it made me smile. All of which is why this week's AG.com-approved music video is Reverend Al performing "Sha La La (Make Me Happy)" on Soul Train: Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
Twins Notes: Slowey, Hicks, Revere, and Sweet Fancy MosesYEAR DATE OPP IP R H SO BBLast night Slowey joined Johan Santana (three times), Jim Kaat (twice), Bert Blyleven, Dean Chance, Camilo Pascual, and Mark Guthrie as the only pitchers in Twins history to record at least 12 strikeouts without a walk. Fittingly only Blyleven lost his start, tossing a complete game in a 2-1 loss to the Royals on September 24, 1986. Slowey is now 14-9 with a 4.05 ERA and 132-to-26 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 31 career starts, including 10-8 with a 3.78 ERA and 91-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 20 starts this year. If you like that, there's also a shot of Scott Baker working the hell out of pepper mill.Earlier Saturday, the amiable host of a long-standing Twin Cities sports talk show received a call from a gentleman suggesting that Delmon Young was having a season for the Twins nearly as productive as Mauer's. He wanted to stick with the basics to make this comparison. As of this morning, those numbers are .321 average, 74 runs scored and 59 RBI for Mauer, and .294, 62 runs scored and 53 RBI for Young.More please! If you adjust Hicks' rookie-ball performance to the AL's current offensive level, his hitting line jumps to .320/.405/.570, which is amazing for a teenager making his pro debut. Hicks' strong 30-to-26 strikeout-to-walk ratio is also very encouraging, because high-school draftees typically lack plate discipline and drawing walks isn't something that the Twins are known for stressing. Hopefully he can follow the Joe Mauer path by bringing a patient approach at the plate with him to the organization and maintaining it. Along with hitting like a souped-up Tony Gwynn, Revere has stolen 44 bases at a 77-percent clip. He hasn't shown as much plate discipline as Hicks, but it's tough to blame someone for eschewing walks when they're hitting .380 and a 31-to-27 strikeout-to-walk ratio is outstanding for a 20-year-old anyway. Combined with what he did in rookie-ball during his pro debut last year, Revere has hit .360/.416/.484 with 44 total extra-base hits, 65 steals, and a 51-to-40 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 133 games. Gomez has started running again recently, swiping four bases in his last 11 games, but his 25-for-35 (71 percent) mark in 117 games overall is disappointing. During the winter my suggestion was that the Twins should give Gomez some extra development time in the minors and avoid needlessly burning through a year of service time while he'd likely struggle. Given his .250/.286/.343 hitting line, 113-to-19 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and inconsistent work on the bases that would've been a good plan. Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP)With a 4.33 xFIP this season Reyes would rank second to Matt Guerrier (4.14) among the team's right-handed relievers, and his 4.07 xFIP over the previous three years is better than Guerrier, Jesse Crain, and Boof Bonser (and would be better than Brian Bass, except he didn't pitch prior to 2008). Reyes is far from a world beater, but he's at least as good as any right-hander the Twins have trotted out of the bullpen since Pat Neshek went down and another capable arm in the late innings would help. Of course, if general manager Bill Smith were actually interested in providing Ron Gardenhire another capable reliever he'd have claimed Chad Bradford off waivers, traded for LaTroy Hawkins, or called up Bobby Korecky. Korecky has six straight scoreless outings at Triple-A, saving five games during that stretch to give him a 2.99 ERA, 67-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .236 opponent's batting average in 69.1 innings. Bradford and Hawkins have combined for 11 shutout innings with their new teams. UPDATE: Reyes signed a minor-league contract with the first-place Mets, who reportedly may give him a shot at closer. Meanwhile, the Twins finally cut Bass loose Wednesday about three months later than they probably should have, making room for Casilla's return while leaving Korecky at Rochester. Yuniesky Betancourt is the toughest player in the AL for a pitcher to walk. Kenji Johjima is third-toughest. They both walked in the eighth inning against Twins' reliever Matt Guerrier.Guerrier is 0-2 with a ghastly 19.89 ERA over his last nine games, allowing 15 runs in 6.1 innings. Jodi Mientkiewicz first went to the cardiologist last Friday, after dealing with shortness of breath and a dropping heart rate over the previous week. [Pirates manager John] Russell said that her heart rate had dropped to as low as 35 beats per minute. A normal resting heart rate is typically between 60 and 100 beats per minute.Scary times in the midst of what has been a solid season for Mientkiewicz, who's hitting .285/.371/.388 in 280 plate appearances for the Pirates while seeing extensive action at third base for the first time in his career. Jodi Mientkiewicz has been released from the hospital and is reportedly doing well. Seattle reliever R.A. Dickey had his knuckleball dancing, but it looked like Elaine from "Seinfeld" when he matched a major league record for wild pitches in an inning with four in the fifth.For the non-Seinfeld fanatics who don't get the reference, here's what Christensen is talking about: "Sweet Fancy Moses." Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Aaron and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day One sign that you're probably having a fairly bad day is when shelling out $400 for a new toilet is merely your second-biggest expense of the morning behind dropping $1,000 on a new water heater. Oh, and then after coughing up $1,400 you sit down to watch your favorite team lose at home to a team that was 5-23 since the All-Star break. That was my Monday and unfortunately this is what my blog entries look like after a day spent watching delivery trucks come and go while hanging out with a guy named "Ike."At least the Twins still don't have Jarrod Washburn. Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
Monday, August 18, 2008
Jarrod Washburn?!Help, I have done it again - Sia, "Breathe Me"One of my favorite blogs, U.S.S. Mariner, has been chronicling the Mariners' horrendous season full of bad decisions, management changes, and mistake-correcting personnel moves. Jarrod Washburn's situation became a hot topic over there last month, when the Mariners reportedly turned down a trade from the Yankees that would've shed Washburn's contract. Two winters before signing Carlos Silva to a four-year, $48 million deal, the Mariners handed Washburn a four-year, $37.5 million contract. With a year-plus remaining on the deal Washburn has given the Mariners a 23-41 record and 4.51 ERA in 516.1 innings, which is even worse than it looks at first glance considering Seattle's pitcher-friendly ballpark. Rather than a last-place team having to pay a glorified back-of-the-rotation starter $10 million next season, the boys at U.S.S. Mariner have been pleading with the Mariners to dump his contract on any team willing to take him. Instead, when the Yankees expressed interest in Washburn prior to last month's trading deadline the Mariners reportedly asked for a legitimate prospect in exchange, which predictably ended those talks. When the July 31 deadline came and went, the Mariners placed Washburn on waivers while the boys at U.S.S. Mariner hoped that the team's new management had come to their senses and now simply wanted to rid themselves of Washburn's contract. Washburn was claimed off waivers last week, at which point the Mariners could have told the claiming team "he's yours" and be done with his contract, saving $10 million for next season while eliminating a mediocre 34-year-old starter from the rotation. Unfortunately for Dave Cameron and Derek Zumsteg, that's not what happened. Once again the Mariners asked for a valuable player in return for Washburn and once again that predictably led to the interested team backing off. To put U.S.S. Mariner's frustration in perspective, imagine if the Twins had signed Livan Hernandez for two years instead of one. Now imagine that they owed him $10 million for 2009 and when repeatedly given chances to dump that contract ruined things by asking the teams willing to assume his salary for something of value in return. Washburn isn't quite as bad as Hernandez, but as a fan of U.S.S. Mariner who has zero ties to the Mariners it was fascinating to read in a schadenfreude sort of way.That is until learning that the team putting in the "winning" waiver claim for Washburn last week was none other than the Twins. Seriously. Suddenly a front office's well-documented incompetence had not only ruined the Mariners, it had saved the Twins. Details of what took place between the Twins and Mariners regarding Washburn are fairly cloudy and differ significantly depending on which sources you believe, but according to Joe Christensen of the Minneapolis Star Tribune the basic facts seem clear: Bottom line: By placing that waiver claim this week, the Twins were willing to take on Washburn's entire contract--$13 million through the end of 2009 for a 34-year-old lefty who is 5-12 with a 4.58 ERA--and the M's walked away from the chance.Washburn was placed on waivers by the Mariners last week and the Twins claimed him, at which point they could have been forced to take on his remaining contract. Instead, the Mariners asked for further value in return, the Twins balked, and Washburn was pulled back. It took 100 games for the Twins to dump Hernandez and trust a rotation full of 26-and-under starters, so the last thing they needed was to acquire another team's washed-up veteran at the cost of $10 million next season. 2008 xFIP 2008 xFIP 2006 xFIPClaiming Washburn two weeks after ditching Hernandez is like going to Taco Bell for dinner after lunch at White Castle kept you in the bathroom all afternoon. Washburn is not a useless player. In fact, if he was 24 years old and made $350,000 instead of being 34 and making $10 million, he'd basically be Glen Perkins. However, that extra decade and $9.65 million changes things completely. If there's one thing the Twins don't need right now it's a 34-year-old fourth starter who'll cost $10 million next season. Now that a healthy, effective Francisco Liriano has joined Perkins, Scott Baker, Nick Blackburn, and Kevin Slowey in the rotation while Boof Bonser remains in the bullpen the Twins have six starters on the roster, each of whom is better, younger, and cheaper than Washburn. In fact, Washburn costs four times as much as all six combined. Rather than actually wanting Washburn my hope is that the Twins made the claim to keep him from the White Sox, although that hardly would've been a bad thing. Whatever the case, the Twins took a misguided risk involving little upside and it failed to hurt them only because the Mariners trumped the bad gamble with a worse decision. Losing three straight games at the Metrodome over the weekend was nice, but the Mariners did the Twins an even bigger favor by not realizing how much better off they'd be without Washburn around. Even Washburn was surprised that the Mariners didn't jump at the chance to make him another team's problem. One day maybe the Twins will stop going after overpriced, washed-up veterans, but in the meantime it was nice of the Mariners to save them from themselves. Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.
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