AaronGleeman.com
Friday, September 05, 2008

Link-O-Rama

  • My "live chat" over at Rotoworld yesterday went extremely well. There were a total of 3,575 questions asked by 1,838 participants, which is pretty insane given that it was basically just me discussing Jay Cutler, making jokes about Gregg Rosenthal, and dropping Seinfeld references for two hours. There were so many questions pouring in that it was tough to keep up, but the actual program was very easy to use and I'm planning to give it a try here soon. If you're interested, here's the transcript.

    Incidentally, quite a few AG.com readers must have been involved, because there were 50 or so Keeley Hazell-related questions submitted (it took amazing restraint to answer only one of them).


  • Speaking of Hazell, after an unfortunate drought last month my scouts are finally sending in tons of Official Fantasy Girl of AG.com links. Of course, as usual none of them are even remotely safe for work.


  • Richard Hoffer of Sports Illustrated recently wrote an excellent piece about Hall of Fame announcer Vin Scully, who even at 80 years old still makes me tune into Dodgers games just for him every night. Also, my offer still stands: "I'd pay a month's salary to replace Bert Blyleven and Dick Bremer with Vin Scully, even for a season."


  • Unfortunately for Britney Spears, exercising can't take away the crazy.


  • When they're not running two "Gleeman World" franchises in Hardball Dynasty, friends of AG.com Keith Arnold and Phil Arnold found time to launch a new site called Road to Gameday, featuring their cross-country trip to "chronicle college football's best rivalries, traditions, campuses, and tailgates." If you're a football fan or just enjoy oddly amusing videos, it's definitely worth checking out. Plus, sending them readers makes me feel less guilty about taking one of Keith's top prospects in the Rule 5 draft.


  • It's pretty tough for a 45-year-old man to look cool playing softball wearing jeans and orange shoes while smoking a cigar, but Michael Jordan definitely pulls it off.


  • After a one-week hiatus, my weekly segment on "The Power Trip Morning Show" with Mike Morris, Cory Cove, and Chris Hawkey resumes at 8:00 a.m. today. You know, because there's nothing better than breaking down the Twins' depressing 5-9 road trip on the radio at eight o'clock in the morning. To listen online, click here.


  • At 31 years old and four years removed from an MVP-caliber season, Daunte Culpepper announced his retirement yesterday while saying that he's been unfairly kept out of the NFL. While there's perhaps some truth to his complaints, at the end of the day he was a shell of his former self after a major knee injury in 2005. It's tough to come back from that as a 275-pound running quarterback who never made the world's greatest decisions as a passer, but for a brief window he was pretty spectacular.


  • Judging from this video, Pro Bowl tight end Chris Cooley, his ex-cheerleader wife, and his Redskins teammates recently engaged in the world's worst fantasy football draft:


    Seven minutes of jam-packed goodness co-starring Fred Smoot, with lots of confused people staring blankly at cheat sheets before trying to draft someone who went off the board three rounds earlier and rookie Colt Brennan inexplicably taking LenDale White about 50 picks too soon.


  • After a grand total of three mixed martial arts bouts--including one loss--Brock Lesnar is now slated to face one of the greatest MMA fighers of all time, Randy Couture, at UFC 91 in November. It seems short-sighted at best for the UFC to throw Lesnar into the fire so quickly, but if 10 million people buy the fight on pay-per-view Dana White and company probably won't care whether he's truly ready. Couture is 45 years old and hasn't fought since last August, but he's probably the smart bet.


  • Joining forces with NBCSports.com a couple years ago led to the cancellation of my "Pick of the Day" gambling column over at Rotoworld, but apparently everyone is fine with football picks. My hope is that having my against-the-spread picks displayed in public on a weekly basis will keep me from feeling the need to actually hypothetically gamble on games, but then again that was also the theory behind my latest weight-loss program and the pounds aren't exactly flying off me. My record so far is 1-0!


  • Joe Posnanski is still driving that Ron Gardenhire bandwagon.


  • September means roster expansion for MLB teams and earlier this week the Twins' seven call-ups were discussed in this space. My hope was that friend of AG.com Andy Baldwin would be among the Mariners' call-ups this month, but unfortunately his early season struggles at Triple-A probably kept the 25-year-old Minnesota native (and son of my uncle's childhood friend) from being added to the 40-man roster this year.

    Baldwin had a disastrous April in his first taste of Triple-A, but went 10-4 with a 4.33 ERA and 79-to-30 strikeout-to-ratio in 133 innings from May 1 on, which is plenty solid given that the Pacific Coast League as a whole had a 4.85 ERA. He's never missed many bats despite standing 6-foot-5 and throwing very hard, totaling 469 strikeouts in 722 career innings. Instead, he's an extreme fly-ball pitcher who pounds the strike zone, which interestingly makes him similar to most of the Twins' pitching prospects.

    Baldwin played college ball with Jacoby Ellsbury at Oregon State and was taken by the Phillies in the fifth round of the 2004 draft, before being traded to the Mariners for Jamie Moyer in mid-2006. With a 4.41 ERA and 469-to-141 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 722 pro innings he's obviously not an elite prospect and his 26th birthday coming up next month means that the clock is definitely ticking, but Baldwin is good enough to get a shot in the majors and he's someone to root for.


  • It took 17 years and 362 pro homers, but 36-year-old journeyman Scott McClain finally went deep in a major-league game Wednesday. A 22nd-round pick way back in 1990, McClain reached Triple-A for the first time as a 23-year-old in 1993, but little did he know that he'd spend the next 10 years there (plus four more in Japan). Setting aside time in Japan, he hit .271/.357/.484 in 6,702 trips to the plate spread over 1,664 games in the minors prior to Wednesday. Crash Davis marvels at his persistence.


  • It upset me when the Timberwolves drafted Kansas guard Mario Chalmers in the second round only to immediately trade him, but his career is off to a dubious start. ESPN.com reports that Chalmers and Kansas teammate Darrell Arthur "were thrown out of the NBA's rookie transition program after being caught in their hotel room with marijuana and women." Interestingly, a poll asking "how much does it bother you if athletes use marijuana?" shows that over half of 125,000 respondents said, "Not at all."


  • Finally, in honor of Chalmers this week's AG.com-approved music video is Jason Mraz performing a live version of "Live High" in Amsterdam (where else?):




  • Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.


    Thursday, September 04, 2008

    Live Chatting The Pain Away

    Last night's ugly loss to the Blue Jays means that the Twins are 3-8 since beginning their 14-game road trip with back-to-back wins. Those eight losses have come by a combined 12 runs while including multiple blown leads and countless squandered opportunities, which has been incredibly frustrating to watch given that the White Sox have done their best to give the division away. Still, a win tonight would end the trip at 6-8, which is hardly disastrous for a team that previously went 26-31 away from home.

    Of course, essentially every game on the road trip has been very winnable for the Twins, but instead of going 9-5 or even 10-4 to emerge as clear AL Central favorites they'll head home trailing the White Sox by at least a half-game. There's no doubt that sitting a game out of first place with 22 games remaining is a great spot to be in, but the Twins have coughed up numerous chances to grab control of their own destiny and it's been tough to watch. They should be leading the race, instead of merely being in it.

    In what will hopefully help get my mind off the Twins' struggles, I'll be hosting a "live chat" on Rotoworld today at 2:00 p.m. Central time. In theory it's a football-only chat, which understandably may not interest readers of this blog, but feel free to brush off work to ask me some questions about Adrian Peterson or Tom Brady or Keeley Hazell. It'll be my first time using the live chat program, so if things go smoothly we can use it to talk Twins here in the future. Check it out: Rotoworld NFL Chat w/ Aaron Gleeman.

    Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.


    Wednesday, September 03, 2008

    September Call-Ups: Pitchers

    Now that September has arrived MLB teams are allowed to expand their active rosters from 25 to 40, and the Twins are expected to add a total of seven players from Double-A and Triple-A. Yesterday's entry examined the hitters joining the team for the final month and today's entry looks at the pitchers arriving for the stretch run.
    Philip Humber | Starter | DOB: 12/82 | Throws: Right | Trade: Mets

    YEAR LV G GS ERA IP H HR SO BB
    2006 A+ 7 7 2.37 38.0 24 4 36 9
    AA 6 6 2.88 34.1 25 4 36 10
    2007 AAA 25 25 4.27 139.0 129 21 120 44
    2008 AAA 31 23 4.56 136.1 145 21 106 49
    Philip Humber went 35-8 with a 2.80 ERA and 422 strikeouts in 353 innings during three seasons at Rice University, winning national Freshman of the Year honors in 2002 and a College World Series title in 2003. Selected by the Mets with the third overall pick in the 2004 draft, Humber was just 15 starts into his pro career when he joined the long list of pitchers from his alma mater to suffer a major arm injury after racking up huge pitch counts in college, undergoing Tommy John elbow surgery in mid-2005.

    He returned to the mound a year later and thrived between Single-A and Double-A despite a drop in velocity, but has now turned in back-to-back mediocre seasons at Triple-A and will be 26 years old in a few months. Acquired from the Mets as part of the package for Johan Santana, Humber posted a 5.82 ERA in the first half while being demoted to Rochester's bullpen. He rejoined the rotation in the second half and pitched well with a 2.67 ERA and 52-to-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 57.1 innings.

    However, the end result of his up-and-down year is nearly identical to his 2007 campaign, which is bad news given his move from the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League to the pitcher-friendly International League. Humber no longer overpowers hitters or racks up strikeouts, his control is spotty, and as an extreme fly-ball pitcher he serves up homers in bunches. People focusing on his pre-surgery potential and 6-foot-4 frame misguidedly still view him as a top prospect, but he's anything but at this point.

    Humber has a 4.41 ERA and 226-to-93 strikeout-to-walk ratio while serving up 42 homers among 274 hits in 275.1 innings at Triple-A. Despite that he'll likely stick in the majors next season, because like Brian Bass this year he's out of minor-league options and would have to pass through waivers before a third stint at Triple-A. He has little chance of cracking the rotation given the Twins' collection of young starters and his best chance at long-term success will likely come as a reliever anyway.
    Bobby Korecky | Reliever | DOB: 9/79 | Throws: Right | Trade: Phillies

    YEAR LV G GS ERA IP H HR SO BB
    2006 AA 16 0 3.24 25.0 30 1 14 13
    AAA 34 0 3.35 51.0 52 4 28 16
    2007 AAA 66 0 3.71 85.0 80 5 71 34
    2008 AAA 53 0 2.91 74.1 66 3 71 22
    MLB 9 0 3.48 10.1 8 1 6 4
    Selected by the Phillies in the 19th round of the 2002 draft after a three-year career at the University of Michigan, Bobby Korecky was traded to the Twins along with Carlos Silva and Nick Punto in exchange for Eric Milton in December of 2003. Korecky waited another five years for his MLB debut and despite holding his own after finally being called up by the Twins in late April he was sent back to Triple-A just nine appearances later.

    Korecky took the demotion in stride and thrived in his third straight year at Rochester, saving 26 games with a 2.91 ERA, 71-to-22 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .237 opponent's batting average in 74.1 innings. Calling him back up again seemingly would have been a no-brainer given the team's ongoing bullpen struggles, but instead Korecky remained at Rochester for the next three-plus months while the Twins told people who questioned their decision that they wanted him to "work on his changeup."

    Much like Jason Bartlett supposedly needing to work on his "infield leadership" a few spring trainings ago, that explanation doesn't really pass the smell test for a 28-year-old reliever who's pitched in 300 minor-league games. Korecky doesn't project as anything special, but his lengthy track record includes 69 saves with a 3.34 ERA in 210.1 innings at Rochester and shows someone capable of being a solid middle reliever. If nothing else, that's something the Twins could have used in June, July, and August.

    It's also something the Twins could use in the postseason, but by waiting until September to recall him they've ruled Korecky out for the playoff roster unless the "Francisco Rodriguez rule" is used to replace Pat Neshek. Bass got five months with the Twins despite a track record that pales in comparison to Korecky, who'll turn 29 years old in two weeks and hasn't gotten a chance to stick in the majors. He can get outs in the middle innings if given an opportunity, but at this point that seems unlikely.
    Jose Mijares | Reliever | DOB: 10/84 | Throws: Left | Sign: Venezuela

    YEAR LV G GS ERA IP H HR SO BB
    2006 A+ 27 5 3.57 63.0 52 10 77 27
    2007 AA 46 0 3.54 61.0 40 7 75 48
    AAA 5 0 6.23 8.2 9 3 6 5
    2008 RK 7 0 0.82 11.0 10 0 16 1
    A+ 5 0 2.61 10.1 7 0 8 3
    AA 11 0 2.93 15.1 16 2 17 7
    Signed out of Venezuela in 2002, Jose Mijares ranked No. 28 on my list of the Twins' top 40 prospects two years ago. A disappointing 2007 season full of walks and homers between Double-A and Triple-A followed, and his prospect stock fell further when Mijares broke his pitching elbow in a car accident this winter. He returned to the mound in July, but got his feet wet at rookie-ball and high Single-A before a promotion back to Double-A last month.

    Between the three levels Mijares had a 2.21 ERA, 41-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .234 opponent's batting average in 36.2 innings, which while somewhat misleading thanks to the low-level competition is nonetheless very encouraging. Mijares' raw stuff has always been considered outstanding, but in the past his results have been inconsistent at best. For instance, even while dominating at high Single-A in 2006 he served up 10 homers and walked 27 batters in 63 innings.

    Last year he again served up 10 homers along with handing out 53 walks in 70.1 innings, which isn't how great relief prospects generally perform. The Twins clearly think very highly of Mijares, bypassing several more experienced pitchers to call him up all the way from Double-A despite his logging just 15 innings there thanks to the broken elbow. He's made some impressive strides this year considering the injury and with 319 strikeouts in 265.2 career innings his stuff has always been electric.

    With that said, Mijares is still plenty rough around the edges just two months from his 24th birthday and definitely needs to harness his stuff while doing a better job keeping the ball in the ballpark before he can emerge as a strong late-inning option. With left-handers Dennys Reyes, Craig Breslow, and Eddie Guardado already in the bullpen he doesn't figure to see much action this month and will likely begin next season at Triple-A.



    Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.


    Tuesday, September 02, 2008

    September Call-Ups: Hitters

    Now that September has arrived MLB teams are allowed to expand their active rosters from 25 to 40, and the Twins are expected to add a total of seven players from Double-A and Triple-A. Today's entry examines the hitters joining the team for the final month and tomorrow's entry will look at the pitchers arriving for the stretch run.
    Jason Pridie | Center Field | DOB: 10/83 | Bats: Left | Trade: Rays

    YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
    2006 AA 503 .230 .281 .304 5 20 31 93
    2007 AA 300 .290 .331 .441 4 27 14 45
    AAA 274 .318 .375 .539 10 30 22 47
    2008 AAA 598 .267 .303 .426 12 48 30 150
    Taken by the Rays in the second round of the 2002 draft, injuries and poor numbers offensively caused Jason Pridie to be left unprotected from the Rule 5 draft in December of 2005. A 22-year-old with about a month's worth of experience above Single-A, the Twins nonetheless selected Pridie only to offer him back to the Rays prior to Opening Day. He struggled again at Double-A in 2006, but followed that up by hitting .303/.352/.487 in 134 games between Double-A and Triple-A last year.

    That caught the Twins' eye again and they re-acquired him as part of the six-player swap headlined by Delmon Young and Matt Garza. At the time my take was that "Pridie's success in 2007 sticks out from the rest of an otherwise mediocre track record of .279/.326/.432 hitting" and unfortunately he basically matched those career numbers with a .267/.303/.426 line in 137 games at Rochester. However, after hitting just .243/.276/.392 in the first half, Pridie did bat .326/.364/.522 in 44 second-half games.

    Like Denard Span last year his strong finish provides some reason for optimism, but Pridie posted an awful 51-to-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio during that 44-game stretch and struck out 150 times versus just 30 walks overall. Pridie has speed, athleticism, and the ability to play all three outfield spots, but he's a 25-year-old career .277/.322/.431 hitter who rarely walks and struggles to make contact. He looks like a fourth outfielder to me, but the Twins always love toolsy outfielders who can't control the strike zone.
    Matt Tolbert | Second Base | DOB: 5/82 | Bats: Switch | Draft: 2004-16

    YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
    2006 A+ 173 .303 .360 .458 4 13 14 17
    AA 292 .258 .341 .363 3 19 30 43
    2007 AAA 477 .293 .353 .427 6 37 37 56
    2008 AA 53 .250 .264 .308 0 3 1 6
    MLB 90 .265 .307 .337 0 6 5 15
    Selected by the Twins in the 16th round of the 2004 draft despite a modest .288/.365/.393 line in four years at the University of Mississippi, Matt Tolbert has essentially duplicated his college production by hitting .279/.343/.401 in five pro seasons. Within that thoroughly mediocre overall performance, two hot streaks have misled some people to believe that he's more than a possible utility man. For example, he hit .340 in April and .370 in May after making his Triple-A debut as a 25-year-old last season.

    That got fans and media members talking about Tolbert, but he predictably crashed back down to earth by hitting .267/.323/.396 in the second half to finish the season at his usual .293/.353/.427. Similarly, after making this year's team out of spring training Tolbert began his MLB career 14-for-35 (.400) while people who didn't know better got way too excited about his future. An 8-for-48 (.167) slump followed and Tolbert was hitting just .265/.307/.337 overall when a finger injury sidelined him in mid-May.

    Tolbert was getting regular starts at shortstop, second base, and third base prior to the injury, but after more than three months off he returns as a reserve. As a 26-year-old career .279/.343/.401 hitter in the minors who's stretched defensively at shortstop Tolbert has very limited value, but Ron Gardenhire can never have enough light-hitting utility infielders at his disposal and with Nick Punto an impending free agent there may soon be a vacancy in the manager's heart.
    Matt Macri | Third Base | DOB: 5/82 | Bats: Right | Trade: Rockies

    YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
    2006 AA 326 .233 .294 .372 8 22 22 66
    2007 AA 298 .298 .349 .502 11 34 20 58
    AAA 59 .286 .322 .554 4 6 3 13
    2008 AAA 346 .256 .321 .456 10 38 26 83
    MLB 32 .367 .406 .500 1 2 2 8
    Originally taken out of an Iowa high school by the Twins in the 17th round of the 2001 draft, Matt Macri opted for college instead of signing and played three years at Notre Dame before the Rockies made him a fifth rounder in 2004. Macri hit well at Single-A to begin his pro career, struggled at Double-A in 2006, and then hit .298/.349/.502 in 79 games while repeating the level last year. Traded to the Twins for Ramon Ortiz that August, Macri moved up to Triple-A and hit .286/.322/.554 in 17 games.

    Macri carried a solid .282/.350/.467 career line into this year and impressed during a month-long stint with the Twins after making his MLB debut in late May, going 11-for-30 (.367) before Punto's return from the disabled list got him sent back to Rochester. At the time it seemed like Macri would be back in the majors relatively soon, but instead he remained at Triple-A for the next three-plus months while hitting just .256/.321/.456 in 88 games.

    He's already 26 years old, strikes out a lot, and lacks plate discipline, but Macri is a capable defender at third base who can play second base in a pinch or shortstop in an emergency and offers 20-homer power. He'd be miscast as an everyday player, but if the Twins decide to go with Brian Buscher as their primary third baseman next season Macri would be a good fit to take over against left-handed pitching as his platoon partner.
    Ryan Jorgensen | Catcher | DOB: 5/79 | Bats: Right | Sign: Free Agent

    YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
    2006 AAA 269 .213 .315 .357 8 17 31 57
    2007 AAA 279 .237 .292 .325 2 18 21 52
    2008 AAA 221 .247 .315 .433 8 20 18 52
    A seventh-round pick in 2000, Ryan Jorgensen is now a 29-year-old career .239/.313/.373 hitter in nine minor-league seasons, including .232/.304/.368 in 1,141 trips to the plate at Triple-A. Along with those putrid numbers, his resume includes a 50-game suspension for violating MLB's drug policy last year and an appearance in the Mitchell Report a few months later. Despite his off-field issues and inability to hit even minor-league pitching, Jorgensen is in the majors for the third time in four seasons.

    He's a living, breathing example of why Joe Mauer is far more valuable than most people think, has no business in the majors, and will be lucky to get a few odd at-bats this month, but the Twins called him up because they wanted to have a third catcher around and Jose Morales is out with an ankle injury. Jorgensen's biggest contribution figures to be easing Gardenhire's mind enough to let Mauer start at designated hitter or pinch-hit on days when Mike Redmond is behind the plate.



    Once you're done here, check out my latest "Daily Dose" column over at Rotoworld.